It’s been a volatile few weeks in the financial markets. Up until late January, we were still enjoying the longest bull market in history. In three short weeks, the bull market has ended, and we’ve entered bear market territory. Between Friday, February 21 and Monday, March 16, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped by 30.37%.1
The rapid decline has left many investors with two questions:
There’s no easy answer to the first question. If history is any guide, eventually the decline will stop, and the markets will recover. The average bear market lasts 13 months, followed by a 22-month recovery.2 However, it’s impossible to predict when that recovery might begin.
The second question is even more difficult to answer. There are certainly protection options available, but not all options are right for all investors. Your strategy should be based on your unique needs, goals, and tolerance for risk. Below are a few options you have available:
Shifting to a more conservative allocation.
Changing your allocation to a more conservative strategy is always an option. Many people become more risk averse as they approach retirement. If you haven’t reviewed your allocation in years, this may be the right time to do so.
Of course, a more conservative allocation could limit your participation in a recovery when it happens. Work with a financial professional to find an allocation that limits your exposure to further losses, but still gives you an opportunity to participate future upside.
Staying the course.
Another option is to stay the course and stay invested in your current allocation. Again, that may expose you to further losses, but it could also put you in a position to take advantage of a recovery when it does happen.
Again, it’s impossible to predict when a recovery could happen, but history can provide some insight. The last bear market started in October 2007 and lasted until March 2009, spanning much of the financial crisis. The S&P 500 dropped 56.8%. However, the subsequent bull market (which just ended) lasted more than 10 years and saw the S&P 500 increase by more than 400%.3
The 2000 bear market was triggered by the tech bubble. It lasted nearly 30 months and saw a total decline of more than 49%. It was followed by a 60-month bull market with a return of more than 100%. The 1990 bear market lasted only three months and had a decline of 20% and it was followed by a 113-month bull market with a cumulative return of 417%.3
Bear markets are often followed by bull markets. The question is whether you can stick it out through further losses. Again, your financial professional can talk through your options with you and help you decide which path is right.
Use risk-protection vehicles.
Another option is to take advantage of market risk-protection vehicles like annuities. There is a wide range of different types of annuities that can limit your exposure to market risk and protect your future. For example, some guarantee your principal against loss, but also offer upside growth potential. Others guarantee your future retirement income, no matter how the market performs in the future. A financial professional can help you determine if an annuity or other risk-protection tool is right for you.
Ready to protect your nest egg from the coronavirus? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Humphrey Financial. We can help you analyze your investments and implement a strategy. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation.
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